The Trading Addict · Issue No. 86 · Tuesday September 22, 2026

AMD Hits $1 Trillion

AMD jumped roughly 10% Monday, crossing $1 trillion in market value. Data Center revenue +107% to $6.7B (58% of sales). Helios AI server rack lands Q4 with OpenAI. Plus Nvidia's Jensen says “0% chance” AI ends the world by 2030 as Altman heads to UN. Tesla asks for $50,000 deposits ahead of Oct 1 Roadster reveal. And Wall Street hits the accelerator — Nasdaq record close, semi index +4.3%.

The Trading Addict Newsletter · by Maria Helmick
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The Trading Addict

Issue No. 86  •  Tuesday September 22, 2026

In This Issue

AMD's Trillion-Dollar Breakthrough — Q2 revenue $11.54B (+50%). Data Center +107% to $6.7B (58% of sales). Helios AI rack ships Q4 with OpenAI. Maria's BL: FOMO.  Jump to this story →
42 Capital Fund — Accredited investors: learn more about our fund.  Jump to this story →
Nvidia's AI Fight Moves Toward the White House — Huang: “0% chance” AI ends the world by 2030. Altman to UN Security Council Wed, WH dinner Thu with Trump & Xi. Proposed AI hotline pending.  Jump to this story →
Tesla Wants $50,000. Buyers Want a Delivery Date. — Roadster reservations reopen: $5K by card + $45K wire. Oct 1 unveiling near Waco. 2017 deposits still undelivered.  Jump to this story →
Math Makes Money · 40,000 Trades. 11 Months. — Go inside our SPX strategy. Nick Battista + Rob Helmick. Live access. One flat monthly fee. Cancel anytime.  Jump to this story →
Wall Street Hits the Accelerator — Nasdaq +2.3% record close. S&P +1.49%. Meta +11.4% (Muse AI). Semi index +4.3%. Crude -5%. 10-yr yield below 5%.  Jump to this story →
October Earnings Watch — The month ahead at a glance.  Jump to this story →
Technology & Semiconductor Heatmap — Where the money moved Sep 21.  Jump to this story →
Day 232 · Mon Sep 21 Trading Update — $1M −$1,940 (255 tr) cum $725,822 (+72.58%). $30K −$50 (30 tr) cum $24,991 (+83.30%).  Jump to this story →
Today's Live Show — Watch Rob and Nick on YouTube — 9:15 AM & 3:15 PM ET.  Jump to this story →
 
Maria at desk, AMD $619.54 +$103.72 (+20.09%) on screen, with cartoon Coulda/Woulda/Shoulda characters (tap to enlarge)

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Math Makes Money · September 21, 2026

AMD's Trillion-Dollar Breakthrough

The Business Behind the Buying Frenzy

AMD crossed $1 trillion in market value Monday as shares jumped roughly 10%, marking a major shift in how Wall Street values the chipmaker's role in artificial intelligence. Investors are betting that AMD can capture a larger share of spending on the processors and complete systems powering the next generation of AI.

The financial results give that enthusiasm substance. Second-quarter revenue reached $11.54 billion, up 50% from a year earlier, while Data Center revenue climbed 107% to $6.7 billion, accounting for 58% of total sales. Demand for EPYC server processors and Instinct AI accelerators drove the expansion. Net income reached $2.3 billion, with earnings of $1.38 per share, or $1.66 on an adjusted basis. Growth was uneven elsewhere: PC processor revenue increased 23%, but gaming revenue fell 31%.

The next stage centers on Helios, AMD's complete AI server rack, which combines 72 graphics processors, 18 server CPUs, networking and software. That broadens the company's opportunity to supply more of each customer's infrastructure budget. OpenAI expects to begin bringing Helios online in the fourth quarter of 2026, with deployments accelerating through 2027. Meta has also been testing and validating workloads on the systems ahead of larger deployments.

The customer agreements show the potential scale. OpenAI and Meta each announced plans for six gigawatts of AMD-powered AI capacity. These are multiyear deployment plans, however, and should not be confused with revenue already earned. Both agreements also include performance-based warrants for up to 160 million AMD shares apiece, creating potential shareholder dilution as the specified milestones are met.

Anthropic adds another planned deployment of up to two gigawatts, with the first gigawatt scheduled to begin in the first half of 2027. AMD has committed to invest up to $5 billion in Anthropic, making the relationship both a hardware opportunity and a significant capital commitment.

For the nearer term, AMD forecasts third-quarter revenue of $12.7 billion to $13.3 billion. The midpoint represents approximately 41% annual growth, with an expected adjusted gross margin of 56%. At a $1 trillion valuation, AMD is worth roughly 19 times that midpoint multiplied by four — a simple annualized sales comparison, not a full-year forecast. That calculation illustrates how much future expansion investors are already pricing in.

Monday's broader rally supplied additional momentum: the semiconductor index gained 4.3%, Treasury yields retreated and the Nasdaq reached a record close. For AMD, the coming quarters will reveal how quickly scheduled installations become recognized revenue — and how much profit remains after the cost of delivering them.

Maria's Bottom Line

FOMO. That explains it all.

 
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Nvidia's AI Fight Moves Toward the White House — September 21, 2026 (tap to enlarge)

Maria's Bottom Line

Maria agrees with “We will not in any way hinder or stifle the Growth of this incredible Industry.” That's what Trump said September 19 about AI. With Xi visiting this week, I'll be watching whether the discussion produces anything concrete for chipmakers. A hotline is one development; a change in what Nvidia can sell would be another. I want to see the terms before deciding what they mean for the stock.

Tesla Wants $50,000. Buyers Want a Delivery Date. September 21, 2026 (tap to enlarge)

Maria's Bottom Line

Collecting deposits for nearly nine years without delivering the Roadster? Apparently, the waiting list has better mileage than the car! Just kidding, of course, but that does seem a little odd. I won't be putting my name on that list. I'll stick with my gas guzzlers and a big, throaty V8 — preferably one I can drive home today.

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Wall Street Hits the Accelerator. What Could Stop the Rally? September 21, 2026 (tap to enlarge)

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Rob and Maria Helmick and Nick Battista · The Trading Addict Newsletter

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