Issue No. 55 • Monday August 10, 2026 The Trading Addict Newsletter by Maria Helmick Market Pulse · What to Expect This Week CPI Is the Week's First Big TestA soft payroll headline eased immediate tightening fears. Wednesday's inflation report has to show that price pressure is cooling — without confirming a deeper growth problem. | July CPI Release Wednesday · 8:30 AM ET |
Friday's jobs report was soft: payrolls declined by 23,000 in July while unemployment held at 4.1%. That is enough to make inflation — not employment — the market's next decisive test. It follows an unusually divided Fed meeting. On July 29, the FOMC held the federal-funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% by a 9–3 vote; all three dissenters preferred a quarter-point increase. Wednesday's CPI will help determine whether that hawkish minority gains support. Wednesday's July CPI release arrives at 8:30 AM ET. June's headline CPI fell 0.4% month over month but remained 3.5% higher year over year. Core CPI was flat for the month and up 2.6% year over year. Why the number matters for stocksCPI changes the expected path of interest rates. A cooler reading can pull Treasury yields lower, reduce the discount rate applied to future earnings and support higher-multiple shares. A hotter reading can do the reverse — lifting yields, tightening financial conditions and making distant profits less valuable today. Cooler / Benign Lower yields could support growth stocks, small caps and homebuilders — provided the report doesn't intensify recession fears. | Hotter Sticky core inflation could revive the hike debate, pressure yields higher and squeeze rate-sensitive sectors. |
Maria's Bottom Line Wednesday's CPI is the single most important number of the week. I'm not trying to guess the print — I'm sizing so that either outcome is manageable. A cool number is a gift; a hot number is a stress test. Have your plan for both before 8:30 AM ET, not after. |
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 Tap the image to view full size AI Infrastructure · Competitive Landscape The AI Race Just Entered OrbitWhat SpaceX's compute push could mean for CoreWeave — and the same expensive race for GPUs, power, financing and AI customers. | AI compute is becoming the new frontierEvery major AI company needs more computing power. That demand has been a powerful tailwind for neoclouds such as CoreWeave, which gives customers access to Nvidia-powered infrastructure. SpaceX is building AI infrastructure and intends to use Nvidia systems. If it secures major GPU supply and sells compute capacity, it could compete directly with CoreWeave for chips, power, financing and customers. Where the pressure could show upGPU access: A large SpaceX allocation could leave CoreWeave paying more — or waiting longer — for the newest Nvidia systems. Capital race: SpaceX has access to enormous capital. CoreWeave already carries considerable debt and must keep financing expansion. Customers: SpaceX could pursue the same AI labs and technology companies that buy capacity from CoreWeave. |
CoreWeave may have to reweave its strategyCoreWeave's growth has been impressive, but building that growth is expensive. A stronger competitor could pressure its financing, margins and expansion. SpaceX does not need to destroy AI demand to hurt CoreWeave — it only needs to make GPUs, customers and capital more expensive to secure. The threat is not immediate, but CoreWeave's room for error is getting smaller. Maria's Bottom Line The opportunity before us is getting more interesting every month. All the companies involved remain compelling. SpaceX's push into AI computing is another sign of how quickly this industry is growing, changing and evolving. This market is still in its infancy. AI demand is expanding so rapidly that there may be enough room for SpaceX, CoreWeave, Nebius and others to grow and profit. It may also be worth considering more space-and-compute names as the story develops. |
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The Week Ahead Earnings Calendar · Aug 10–14The names worth putting on your radar this week. |  Tap the chart to view full size Big names: CRWV, SMCI, CAVA, LITE Mon 8/11 AMC · CSCO & DIS Tue 8/12 AMC · AMAT & NU Wed 8/13 AMC. TBD = unconfirmed. |
» STOCK JOKE OF THE DAY  Send this one to your favorite bag-holder friend » DAY 202 · FRI AUG 7 · DAILY TRADING UPDATE  Tap the dashboard to see the full summary online  » Tap to watch the live daily show at 9:15 AM and 3:25 PM Monday through Friday, as well as Sunday at 5:55 PM ET » TRADES OF THE WEEK Week of August 10 — Two SPX 0DTE trades | | Entry Time | Strategy | | 11:25 | 225 M 95 50 00 | | 15:23 | 225 M 95 50 00 |
Two SPX 0DTE plays — same 225 M 95 50 00 strategy, morning and afternoon. |
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MATH MAKES MONEY Rob and Maria Helmick and Nick Battista · The Trading Addict Newsletter MathMakesMoney.com Educational only. Not investment advice. Trading options involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. |
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