The Week Ahead

Earnings Calendar · Aug 10–14

The names worth putting on your radar this week.

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Highlights: CRWV, SMCI & LITE Mon 8/11 AMC · CSCO & DIS Tue 8/12 · AMAT Wed 8/13 AMC · consensus estimates; TBD = unconfirmed.

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AI Infrastructure · Earnings Preview

CRWV: Can CoreWeave Break Its Post-Earnings Pattern?

Reports Aug 11 after the close. Wall Street wants revenue growth — plus margins, discipline and confident guidance.

The Setup

Wall Street expects roughly $2.53B in revenue, up ~109% YoY. Company guidance: Q2 rev $2.45-$2.6B, adj operating income $30-$90M, full-year revenue $12-$13B, full-year adj operating income $900M-$1.1B. A strong report needs revenue near/above $2.6B, backlog growth, stable/improving margins, and guidance maintained or raised.

The 4-Quarter Selloff Pattern

CRWV has beaten revenue expectations in each of the last four quarters — and sold off after every one:

Average post-earnings decline: ~16.8%. A beat alone won't break it — guidance and margins have to carry the day.

Opportunity vs Risk

Direct exposure to the AI leaders: Microsoft, Meta (up to $21B committed capacity), OpenAI (multi-billion contracts), Anthropic (Claude), Nvidia (supplier + investor). But two customers = ~65% of Q1 revenue and net interest expense was $536M. CoreWeave has to deliver capacity on schedule and convert contracted demand into real operating leverage.

Wall Street: Moderate Buy, average target ~$138.

CRWV Sept. 4, 2026 options chain showing the $72 put with 29 days to expiration · tap to enlarge

Educational only. Do not copy this trade — do your own due diligence. Options involve substantial risk.

Market Intelligence · AI Infrastructure

Nvidia's Next Big Metric: Gigawatts

The AI race is moving beyond chips. Power, land and data-center capacity may now define the size of Nvidia's next opportunity.

B. Riley's chief market strategist Art Hogan offered a useful way to rethink Nvidia's opportunity. Investors have spent years counting GPUs, quarterly revenue and earnings growth. The larger question now may be how many gigawatts of AI infrastructure the world intends to build.

A one-gigawatt AI campus is not simply another server farm. It can require hundreds of thousands of advanced GPUs, high-speed networking, liquid cooling, power distribution and enough electricity to support a small city. Under this framework, a single gigawatt could translate into roughly $50 billion in Nvidia revenue.

That shifts the story from a normal semiconductor cycle to a much larger infrastructure buildout. Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle and governments around the world are competing for land, power and computing capacity.

The Financials Are Hard to Ignore

Approximately 70% revenue growth, 74% gross margin, 63% net margin, and roughly 70% earnings growth. At Nvidia's scale, that combination of speed and profitability is rare.

Its market position is just as striking. Nvidia was estimated to control about 92.4% of sovereign AI large-language-model infrastructure, compared with roughly 4.1% for AMD and less than 2% for the remaining competitors combined.

The Real Bottleneck Isn't Chips. It's Electricity.

AI capacity can only expand as quickly as utilities, substations, cooling systems and data centers can be built. That is why the industry's language is changing from servers and chips to megawatts and gigawatts. Wall Street has spent years counting smartphones, PCs, cloud servers and GPUs. The next number that may matter most for Nvidia is the amount of AI power the world can actually bring online.

Week of August 3 — Two SPX 0DTE trades

Two SPX 0DTE plays — late-morning and late-day.

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