Issue No. 40 • Monday July 20, 2026
THE TRADING ADDICT
NEWSLETTER
by Maria Helmick
» Artificial Intelligence
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AMD ADVANCING AI 2026 — LISA SU TAKES CENTER STAGE
Wednesday July 22 — developer sessions. Thursday July 23 — Lisa Su keynote at 12:30 p.m. Eastern. Lisa Su is preparing to show investors how AMD plans to turn its AI technology into real customers, real orders and real revenue.
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AMD will hold its Advancing AI 2026 conference in San Francisco. The two-day event brings AMD executives, developers, customers and technology partners together to discuss the company's latest AI hardware, software and data-center systems.
Thursday Is the Main Event
The most important moment comes Thursday at 12:30 p.m. Eastern, when AMD Chair and CEO Lisa Su delivers the keynote. This is the event I will be watching most closely all week.
What Lisa Su Is Expected to Show
The likely centerpiece is AMD's next-generation Helios AI rack — a complete data-center system combining Instinct MI455X accelerators, EPYC "Venice" processors, Pensando "Vulcano" networking and AMD's ROCm software.
But the technology alone will not move the stock. Investors will be listening for new customers, major orders, deployment dates and proof that these systems are generating real revenue.
How This Could Hurt Nvidia
AMD does not need to beat Nvidia to hurt it. AMD only needs to give big customers another strong choice. If Microsoft, Meta, Amazon or Oracle begin buying more AMD systems, Nvidia could lose future orders. More competition could also make it harder for Nvidia to continue charging such high prices.
Nvidia is still the leader, but strong customer announcements from AMD would show that Nvidia is no longer the only serious option.
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Maria's Bottom Line
May the Best One Win
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I really like AMD, and I think very highly of Lisa Su. At the same time, I am also a big believer in Nvidia and Jensen Huang. Maybe the fact that Lisa and Jensen are distant relatives makes this AI rivalry even more interesting.
I will be listening closely on Thursday and hoping to hear good news — not only for AMD, but for the entire AI industry. I own and believe in both companies, so as far as I am concerned: May the best one win.
But boy, what a family rivalry this could become. Imagine two distant Taiwanese cousins leading two different chip companies, looking like fierce competitors while both help their family dominate the AI chip market. Okay, now my imagination is really running wild — but if that were true, they would certainly be laughing all the way to the bank.
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» AI Infrastructure
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META'S MASSIVE AI BILL COULD BECOME ITS NEXT BUSINESS
Meta built one of the world's largest AI infrastructures for itself. Now Anthropic may pay up to $10 billion over two years to use part of it.
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Meta has spent years building massive data centers and buying advanced chips for its own AI ambitions. Now the company may be preparing to turn that infrastructure into an entirely new business.
Meta is reportedly in early discussions to lease computing power to Anthropic, the company behind Claude, in a potential agreement worth as much as $10 billion over two years. The deal is not final and either side could reportedly end it early. Still, the talks reveal something important: Meta could move from being one of the world's largest buyers of computing power to becoming one of its newest sellers.
Why This Matters
Investors have been watching Meta's enormous AI spending closely. Until now, those data centers and GPU clusters have mostly been viewed as the price of staying competitive.
A major agreement with Anthropic could change that conversation. Meta could begin renting selected computing capacity to outside companies, creating a revenue stream beyond advertising and helping the company earn a return on infrastructure it is already building.
A fully used $10 billion agreement would average roughly $5 billion a year. That would not transform Meta overnight, but Anthropic could become an anchor customer for a much larger cloud-computing business.
Anthropic Needs the Power
Anthropic needs enormous computing capacity to train and operate its AI models. Instead of waiting years for new data centers to be completed, the company has been looking for existing infrastructure wherever it can find it.
Anthropic recently reached a similar arrangement involving the Colossus data center operated by Elon Musk's SpaceX-xAI operation. The message is clear: access to chips, electricity and data-center capacity has become one of the biggest competitive advantages in the AI race.
Meta vs. the Neoclouds
A cloud-computing business would place Meta in competition with companies such as CoreWeave and Nebius, which specialize in renting AI infrastructure. Meta would enter with one major advantage: it already owns a huge amount of the hardware. The harder part would be building the customer-support, billing, cybersecurity and service systems needed to serve outside companies.
There is also a strategic question. Anthropic could become a major customer, but it is also an AI competitor. Meta must decide whether earning billions from the capacity is more valuable than keeping every available resource for its own models.
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Maria's Bottom Line
I Like the Way Meta Is Thinking Outside the Box
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I like the way Meta is thinking outside the box. The company has already spent billions on AI infrastructure, so finding another way to make that investment pay makes sense.
The deal is still preliminary, but I like the direction. Now, if Meta could just stop getting sued, that would help too. At least the rental income may cover a few legal bills.
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» The Week Ahead
THE WEEK AHEAD — BIG TECH BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT
More than 80 S&P 500 companies report this week. Most of the attention will be on Big Tech and chips. These reports could either calm investors down — or give them another reason to sell.
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Wednesday, July 22 — The Big Night
Alphabet, Tesla and Texas Instruments all report after the closing bell.
Alphabet is the one I will be watching closest. The market wants to hear that all this AI spending is paying off — Google Cloud, AI demand, capex, margins. Strong numbers alone will not be enough if investors don't like how much is being spent.
Tesla is closely watched but not just for deliveries. Robotaxis, AI, Optimus, spending, margins. The story is usually as important as the numbers.
Texas Instruments gives us a look at demand outside the AI trade — cars, factories, industrial equipment. Its guidance can tell us whether the broader economy is improving or still struggling.
Thursday, July 23 — Intel and Jobless Claims
Intel reports after the close. Intel still has a lot to prove — AI, data-center demand, manufacturing costs, margins, and the outlook for the rest of the year.
After the recent pressure on semiconductor stocks, a strong report could help the sector. A weak outlook could make an already bruised group even more volatile.
Thursday morning also brings weekly jobless claims. The labor market has stayed steady, but investors are paying closer attention now.
Friday, July 24 — A Check on the Economy
Friday brings the latest manufacturing and services PMI reports — an early look at how the economy is performing in July. Are businesses still growing? Are costs rising? Is the economy strong enough to support corporate earnings?
Looking Ahead
The Federal Reserve announces its next rate decision on Wednesday, July 29. The main expectation is that the Fed leaves rates unchanged, but every word will be scrutinized.
The following week brings Q2 GDP and the PCE inflation report. The market will not get much of a break.
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Maria's Bottom Line
A Few Earnings Could Change the Mood of the Whole Market
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Alphabet and Tesla will tell us whether investors are still willing to pay up for the biggest growth stories. Texas Instruments and Intel will give us a better read on the rest of the semiconductor sector.
I am still bullish, especially on AI, but I am not chasing anything into earnings. Companies may report good numbers and stocks could still fall if expectations are too high.
For me, this week is about watching the reactions, keeping some cash available and being ready in case the market gives us a better entry.
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